NCAA Men’s Basketball Previews- No.9 Duke Blue Devils vs. No.5 North Carolina Tar Heels

by Dirty on February 8, 2012

Betting on Tar Heels Basketball

 

 

 

 

Pointspread: North Carolina -6

Total Line: 157 1/2

In one of college basketball’s greatest rivalries, the Duke Blue Devils square-off against the North Carolina Tar Heels this Wednesday night in Chapel Hill. Game time for this ACC clash is set for 9 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Duke comes into this game licking its wounds a bit after a 78-74 overtime loss to Miami this past Sunday as a 12-point home favorite. The loss dropped it to 19-4 straight-up on the year and a costly 9-14 against the spread. The Blue Devils are 9-2 SU on the road but just 5-6 ATS. The total has gone 6-5 in the 11 games.

This game becomes a huge test for a Duke ballclub that is ranked 12th in the nation in scoring with 79.8 points a game and shooting 48.2 percent from the floor, but has struggled with consistency against some of the better teams it has faced. The result has been a 3-2 SU record in its last five games.

North Carolina extended its current winning streak to five games with an 83-74 victory over Maryland, but could not cover as a 12-point home favorite. The Tar Heels are now 20-3 SU overall, a perfect 14-0 SU at home, and tied with Florida State for the lead in the ACC at 7-1 SU. They are 11-11 ATS overall and 7-6 ATS at home with the total staying ‘under’ in eight of the 13 games.

The Tar Heels continue to lead the nation in scoring with 84.1 points a game and rebounds with 46.3 a game. They are shooting 47 percent from the floor and 35.7 percent from three-point range. North Carolina’s only real weakness has been from the free-throw line where it is converting on just 65.1 percent of its attempts.

Duke is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU loss, but 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of its last seven games.

North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a SU win and 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 ACC games. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of its last 10 games following an ATS loss.

Head-to-head in this storied series, the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and the total has stayed ‘under’ in the last six.

The Blue Devils have won four of the last five games SU and are 4-2 ATS in the last six, but the Tar Heels come into this game in better form and make a statement with a convincing win at home.

The Pick: North Carolina 82       Duke 73



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