NCAA Men’s Basketball Betting Previews- No.4 Duke Blue Devils vs. No. 16 Florida State Seminoles

by Dirty on February 23, 2012

Betting on FSU Basketball

 

Pointspread: Duke -2

Total Line: 138 1/2

The Duke Blue Devils will be out to avenge an earlier loss this season at home when they go on the road to square-off against the Florida State Seminoles this Thursday night with first-place in the ACC on the line. The tip-off for this showdown is set for 7 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Duke has played exceptionally well this season except if it is against a team from Florida. Not only did it lose to Florida State 76-73 at home as a 10.5-point favorite, it lost to Miami 78-74 in overtime as a 12.5-point favorite at home as well.

The Blue Devils are 23-4 straight-up on the year and 10-2 SU in the ACC. They are 12-15 against the spread, but 4-2 ATS in their last six games and 7-6 ATS on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in three of their last four games on the road. Duke is averaging 79.5 points a game and shooting 46.9 percent from the floor.

Florida State is also 10-2 SU in conference play after knocking-off the NC State Wolfpack 76-62 as a two-point road underdog this past Saturday. The Seminoles are 19-7 SU (13-11 ATS) overall and an impressive 14-1 SU (8-5 ATS) at home. The total has stayed ‘under’ in their last four home games.

The Seminoles’ 76 points against the Wolfpack was the first time it scored more than 70 points in their last six games. They are shooting 45.5 percent from the floor and just 33.8 percent from three-point range. They will need a dramatic improvement in all three of these areas to have any chance at pulling-off the season series sweep.

The Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games in the ACC and 5-0 ATS in their last five games on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of their last five games following an ATS win.

The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win, but just 1-4 ATS in their last five games in the conference. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their last seven games overall.

Head-to-head in this series, Duke has now lost the last two games SU. It is 2-6 ATS in its last eight trips to Tallahassee and 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings overall with the total staying ‘under’ in 12 of the last 16 games. Stick with the Blue Devils to buck the recent trends with a big win on the road to end Florida State’s winning streak at two.

The Pick: Duke 79       Florida State 71

 

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