NASCAR Odds – Johnson goes for Dover sweep

by on September 26, 2009

Those who play NASCAR odds will be aware of Jimmie Johnson’s domination of Dover International Speedway, which is the site of Sunday’s AAA 400, the second race of the Chase. Johnson made a mockery of the field here in June, and he may do it again.

Dover Odds – Sunday, September 27, 2:00 PM ET

Johnson is the online sports betting favorite at +400, and he has a solid 10.4 average in 15 races at Dover, including four wins. The No.48 driver swept the 2002 races here, and he’s coming off a fourth-place result at New Hampshire.

Mark Martin kept his points lead by winning at New Hampshire, and he lines up at +600 with Tony Stewart, who led the regular season points. Martin has four wins at Dover like teammate Johnson, but it’s taken him 46 races to do so. However, he was 0-of-25 at New Hampshire last week and leads the series with five wins, so a bet with Martin wouldn’t be a bad one.

Roush-Fenway made it a 1-2-3 sweep in last year’s fall race at Dover, headed by Greg Biffle (+800), Edwards (+800) and Matt Kenseth (+2200). Although Edwards leads all active drivers with an amazing 7.6 average in 10 races, his broken foot has to be bothering him more than he’s letting on, and Dover is one of the most physically demanding tracks on the Sprint Cup circuit. If you have to bet on Roush-Fenway, go with Biffle, whose 10.6 average in 14 races is fourth, and he finished third here in June.

Juan Pablo Montoya was points racing all season to get into the Chase, but he showed that was all gone at New Hampshire as he drove like the aggressive Montoya that has won in every level he’s raced at. He set a record to win the pole at New Hampshire, and then led 105 laps before finishing third. He hasn’t finished higher than 30th in his last two races at Dover, but past history means nothing to the No.42 driver.

For a darkhorse in your gambling software, check out Ryan Newman at +2200, as the No.39 driver has three wins here, including a sweep of the 2003 races. He finished eighth here back in June.

PICK: Go with Jimmie Johnson this week. With his track record both at Dover and in the Chase, there’s not many better places to make the three-time defending champion one of your sports picks.

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