NASCAR Odds – Carl or Jimmie at Atlanta?

by on September 5, 2009

When it comes to this week’s NASCAR odds, it’s a tossup between Jimmie Johnson and Carl Edwards. The two have combined to win four of the last five Pep Boys Auto 500s, and they’ll go at it again on Sunday night on what could be, pound for pound, NASCAR’s fastest track.

NASCAR Odds – Sunday, September 6, 7:30 PM ET

Johnson is the favorite at +450, and he has three overall wins at Atlanta, two coming in this race in 2004 and 2007. He finished ninth here in March, leading 11 laps along the way. His numbers at Atlanta are excellent, and that’s an understatement: in 16 races overall here, his 9.1 average is best among active drivers, with nine top-fives. In eight Pep Boys 500s, the No.48 driver (and three-time defending series champion) has five top-fives with an average of 9.5, which is second among active drivers. He’s definitely worthy of being the favorite in your online betting sportsbook.

However, Edwards, who is rated at +800, should also be considered when making your sports picks. The No.99 driver won the Pep Boys 500 in 2005 and 2008, and last year, he led 98 laps, which was second to teammate Matt Kenseth’s 128. He also finished third here back in March, leading the way for 28 laps. If you think Johnson’s numbers at Atlanta were astounding, Edwards can hang with him. In 10 Atlanta races overall, he has a finishing average of 10.7, which is second only to Johnson, and in five Pep Boys 500s, he has four top-fives, and an unbelievable 2.8 finishing average, which is almost seven spots better than Johnson.

Jeff Gordon (+800) has four wins here and finished second in March behind Kurt Busch (+1200), but his back has been acting up lately. Mark Martin and Kyle Busch (both listed at +700) are trying to get into or stay in the Chase, so they could be going to simply beat whoever is in front of them in the standings. Johnson and Edwards are pretty much in, so they can afford to go for broke. Johnson has been a little better as of late, as his only finishes outside the top 12 in 10 races were a pair of fuel-mileage mistakes at Michigan. Edwards hasn’t finished outside of the top 20 since the middle of May. However, he’s hungry for a win, as he hasn’t been to Victory Lane since the final race of 2008 at Homestead-Miami. For value alone, go with Carl Edwards, but either driver is a solid selection in your sports betting software.

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