MNF Preview: 49ers Travel to Phoneix to Take on the Cardinals

by Dirty on November 29, 2010

2010 NFL Season Betting

49ers, Cardinals staying alive

The San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals look to stay alive in the NFC West when they meet in the desert on Monday Night Football. ESPN will have the kickoff at 8:30 pm ET.

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San Fran is a 1 ½-point road favorite with a total of 40 ½-points. 71% of the betting public is backing them. A big 76% like the ‘over.’

Both teams have a 3-7 straight-up (and ATS) record, just 1.5 games back of Seattle (5-6) and St. Louis (5-6) in the NFC West. The Seahawks lost at home to Kansas City 42-24. St Louis survived in Denver 36-33. The Monday night loser is likely out of the division race.

San Francisco is considered more likely to make a run. They were the preseason division favorite before getting off to an awful 1-6 SU start. The 49ers did win their first two games (Denver, St. Louis) after switching to quarterback Troy Smith.

Last week’s game was home against Tampa Bay and San Fran lost 21-0 despite being 3 ½-point favorites. Running back Frank Gore had just 23 yards on 12 carries. Smith threw for just 148 yards, although he’s still the starter after playing well his first two games.

San Francisco played against Denver in London and hasn’t played a true road game since Oct. 24 in Carolina. The 49ers lost 23-20 with Alex Smith and David Carr seeing time at quarterback. It is Carolina’s (1-10) only win of the season.

The 49ers are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in true road games this year. They’re 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite, but 17-5 ATS in their last 22 Monday games.

Arizona has lost its last five contests, going 1-4 ATS. The last two were a 36-18 home loss to Seattle and a 31-13 loss at Kansas City. Derek Anderson remains the starter and he has a 70.3 quarterback rating for the year.

The Cardinals have only played four home games this year (2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS). Their schedule is very favorable down the stretch, but it will be hard to flip the switch with one of the lowest rated offenses and defenses in the league.

San Francisco won and ‘covered’ both games against Arizona last year. The road team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Which team will win and stay alive in the NFC West?

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