Indiana’s running away from pack in the East, which is bunching up. Chicago’s loss Wednesday meant that one game separates teams 4-7, while #2 Connecticut is one-half game ahead of #3 Washington, and two games ahead of #4.
A Fever win would drop the Sun completely into pack — 2.5 games would separate teams 2-7. There’s little reason to think it won’t happen straight up — Indiana beat Connecticut at home by 14 on 7/2, while the Sun are coming off an embarrassing home loss to Phoenix. Against the spread is a different matter — in the Fever’s last four home wins, all against the East, they are 1-3 ATS (all of which went over 145).
The Fever made 51 turnovers in those three failures to cover, while allowing the visitors to shoot 44.2 percent. That will surely be a determining factor Thursday — in the Sun’s last four road games, when they shot 42 percent, they won straight up (the shooters were guard Erin Phillips and center Sandrine Gruda, both 50 percent).
Katie Douglas has 59 in Indiana’s last two home games.
