GIQ WNBA Preview — Western Conference semifinal Game 3: Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm

by Frisco Del Rosario on September 20, 2009

God loves kittens and Sue Bird, and hates Los Angeles sports teams. Therefore, the Storm scored five points in the last 15 seconds Friday to avoid being swept from the Western Conference semifinal.

How can one make an educated guess about Sunday’s Game 3? Los Angeles was the hottest team in the West heading in the playoffs, while Seattle did surprisingly well to win half their games without Lauren Jackson. It seemed perfectly reasonable to pick the Sparks to sweep — they have covered twice — but who can feel confident about the Sparks winning an elimination game in the toughest arena in the West?

The linesmaker doesn’t have a clue, either, because the line is 0.

Four times this season Los Angeles has played the same team in home-and-home series, and the Sparks split them all — three times the home team won each, but leave it to the Sacramento Monarchs to screw up a logical situation. Counting Games One and Two as another home-and-home, then the home teams have won each game of the pair four times in five. But while Los Angeles is 5-5 straight up in those 10 games, they are 7-3 against the spread, covering against Seattle all four times.

In the same situations, Seattle is 5-3 SU in four home-and-homes, 2-6 ATS. 0-4 against Los Angeles, 0-2 against San Antonio, and, yup, Sacramento screwed up a pattern yet again.

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