REPORT #1 SUNDAY
Armvin Sports
7/13/2008 Arizona Diamondbacks 130
7/13/2008 St Louis Cardinals -105
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Arizona (47-47) at Philadelphia (51-44)
Two of the top pitchers in the National League are set to square off at Citizens Bank Park, where the Phillies? Cole Hamels matches up against Diamondbacks ace Brandon Webb in the finale of a three-game series.
Philadelphia had a three-game winning streak snapped in Saturday?s 10-4 loss to Arizona. Charlie Manuel?s club is now 4-10 in its last 14 games at home, but it is still 12-4 in its last 16 against losing teams, 4-1 in its last four against the N.L. West, 10-4 in Hamels? last 14 starts overall and 20-9 in his last 29 at home.
Despite yesterday?s win, Arizona remains in the midst of a prolonged slump that has seen the team go 17-27 in its last 44 overall and 11-23 in its last 34 on the road. The DBacks are also 9-22 in their last 33 games against winning teams, but they?re 35-17 in their last 52 behind Webb.
The season series is now tied 3-3, but the road team is still 10-3 in the last 13 meetings dating to last season.
Webb scattered six hits over six scoreless innings in his most recent outing, a 2-0 victory at Washington on Tuesday. He?s gone exactly six innings in each of his last three starts, all Arizona victories. He?s now 7-3 with a 2.73 ERA on the road.
Hamels has registered a quality start in six of his last seven trips to the hill, pitching at least seven innings in every one of those seven outings. On Tuesday, he allowed just two runs on three hits (no walks) in seven frames, but came out on the short end of a 2-0 home defeat, dropping to 5-5 despite a 2.81 ERA in 11 starts at Citizens Bank.
Webb twirled a complete-game against the Phillies at home on May 8, giving up three runs (two earned) in an 8-3 victory. He?s 3-3 with a 3.68 ERA in nine career starts against the Phillies. Meanwhile, Hamels? lone start against Arizona came in the desert back in 2006, and he yielded three hits and a run in a 10-1 victory.
The teams have topped the total the last two nights and the over is 4-1-1 in the six head-to-head battles in 2008. However, the under is still on runs of 25-12 for Philadelphia overall, 8-4 for Philadelphia at home, 13-5-2 for Arizona overall, 8-3-2 for Arizona on the highway, 15-7 for Arizona on Sundays, 6-1-2 when Webb hurls on the road and 5-2 in Hamels? last seven starts overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
L.A. Angels (56-38) at Oakland (51-43)
A couple of pitchers headed to New York for the All-Star game will first battle it out at McAfee Coliseum, where the Angels? Joe Saunders (12-5, 3.07) matches up with Justin Duchscherer (10-5, 1.78) as the top two clubs in the American League West cap a three-game series
Los Angeles prevailed 4-1 in Oakland last night but has been spinning its wheels of late, going 8-8 in its last 16 contests, including 4-6 on the road. Yet Mike Scioscia?s squad still possesses the best road record in baseball at 30-18. The Halos are also 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog, and with Saunders on the hill, they?re on runs of 13-5 overall, 13-6 on the road, 6-1 as a ?dog and 5-1 on Sundays.
Despite Saturday?s setback, Oakland has won four of its last six, all at home, and the club is 9-3 in its past 12 on Sundays.
Saunders was a tough-luck 3-2 loser in Texas on Tuesday, giving up all three runs on six hits with no walks and five strikeouts in eight innings. The southpaw has allowed just nine earned runs in his last five outings, covering 33 2/3 innings (2.41 ERA). Also, with the loss in Texas, Saunders is now 6-3 with a 2.23 ERA in nine road starts. Also, in two outings against the A?s this season (both at home), Saunders is 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA, yielding four runs (two earned) on 10 hits in 14 1/3 innings.
Duchscherer was nearly perfect on Tuesday against the Mariners, giving up just two hits (no walks) in a complete-game 2-0 victory. With that effort, he improved to 7-1 with a 1.23 ERA in eight home starts. Also, not only has the right-hander delivered a quality outing in nine straight starts, he hasn?t allowed more than two runs in any of those games, and he?s 7-2 during this stretch.
Duchscherer beat the Angels 15-8 on May 8, even though he yielded six runs (one earned) on six hits in five innings. For his career, he?s 6-0 with a 1.28 ERA in 23 appearances (two starts) versus Los Angeles.
Although the over is 4-2 in the last five meetings between these clubs, the under is still 41-20-3 in the past 64 showdowns in this rivarly, including 6-2-2 in the last 10 at the Coliseum. Furthermore, the under is 24-10-2 in L.A.?s last 46 on the road, 8-2 in Oakland?s last 10 overall, 9-3 in its last 12 at home and 15-6-2 in its last 23 against southpaw starters.. Finally, the under is 4-1 in Saunders? last five starts overall, 5-1 in his last six on the road and 8-3-1 in Duchscherer?s last 12 overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OAKLAND and UNDER
STU FEINER
Writeups
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Indians
The Rays have been awful in this series, there isn?t even a question about. They have come back to earth in a hurry. What did you expect to happen? Did you expect the Rays to just run away with the division? Did you expect the Rays to win 100 ball games this season? They skipped the baby steps and went with one big leap; they still have some ways to go.
Tonight the Rays have the exact guy to stop this losing streak. Scott Kazmir goes to the mound tonight for the Rays. This guy has been brilliant all year. Not only does this guy shut down the opposition, he does it with electric stuff.
Scott is 7-4 on the season and has an ERA of just 2.69. How about striking out 84 batters in just 77 innings? Scott has already won three games on the road and will not have a problem beating the Indians here tonight. Here is their ace.
Tampa Bay Rays (-)
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
How about these Twins folks? These guys are the biggest surprise in MLB outside of Tampa. Tonight they face a different caliber pitcher though. They aren?t facing Kenny Rogers or Nate Robertson. See that is the clear weakness of the Tigers team. The depth of their starting pitching is more than lacking.
Justin Verlander goes tonight for the Tigers. This guy has really had it going for about two months now. Justin spoke very openly about the fact that he had a long ?dead? arm period. He wasn?t used to throwing a ton of innings like he did last season.
Justin has allowed just ten hits in his last 13 innings pitched. Even better than that Justin hasn?t lost a game in his last six starts that includes a 4-0 mark and no more than two runs in any of those starts. The Tigers will finish off the first half on a positive note. Tigers at home.
Detroit Tigers (-)
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
You have to face facts, the Yankees are a very streaky baseball team. Their offense does come and go quite often. They have actually had more than 30 games in which they scored three or fewer runs this season! That seems like an awfully high number but that is the truth. There is a flip side to that statement of course. When the Yankees get rolling there is no stopping them.
Last night the Yankees pounded a very solid starter. Jesse Litsch was 8-5 before last night?s game with a very respectable. The Yankees proceeded to score nine runs, all in the first four innings. They hit home runs, they hit singles, and they were just on the ball as a team.
Tonight the Yankees send their most reliable starter to the mound. Everyone loves Joba but if you need to win one game you give the ball to Andy. Andy knows how important this game is for the Yankees. He will come up big and he will beat A.J. Burnett in a tight game.
New York Yankees (-)
Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Baltimore was able to steal one in the first game of the series. As big under-dogs they beat the Red Sox young starter (Clay Bucholz). Yesterday things returned back to normalcy. The Red Sox beat up the Orioles. This game was a blow-out before the fourth inning. By the fourth inning the Red Sox already had ten runs and had ran a few pitchers out of the building.
Look for the Red Sox to take care of business once gain here tonight. The Orioles aren?t facing just some rookie pitcher. Daisuke Matsuzaka goes tonight for the Sox. Has this guy been fantastic or what? He is 9-1 on the season and the Red Sox are 12-3 in his fifteen starts. It turns out this guy was something special huh? Anyone that jumped off him after his average first year made a big mistake. This game won?t be close. Dice K will get win number 10 before the break.
Boston Red Sox (-)
Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals
This line is too good to pass up here on this Sunday match-up. The Royals are the better team folks. We know that people want to still hold out hope for the Mariners. We know that people think they can still beat up on average teams. Well don?t make the same mistake as those people folks. You have to face facts, the Mariners are a dead baseball team.
The Royals flat out are a better team. They have a better offense, they pitch better and believe it or not have a better bull-pen. It almost seems as if Seattle never recovered from blowing three games in the first week of the season. They lost their closer this year. They traded their stop set-up man from last season. Both Felix Hernandez and Erik Bedard have spent time on the DL, they just don?t cut it.
The bottom line is that the Mariners don?t win on the road. Seattle is just 17-30 on the road in 2008. It isn?t worth it to jump on them, they are a team that is a constant let-down. Just look at Carlos Silva and his record. If that doesn?t show you something that we don?t know what will. He is 4-11 by the way.
Kansas City Royals (-)
Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
You have to step outside the box and not only look at the White Sox road record from the entire season. If you look at it from the standpoint of their 47 games on the road you will realize it isn?t very good. There is no denying that, but let?s not forget the White Sox were slow out of the gate. People didn?t even know if their manager would be around to see the all-star break. Now they may have a shot at being World Series champions.
Jose Contreras goes tonight for the Sox. This guy is having a big bounce back year, in fact he is having one of his best seasons of his major league career. Jose already has seven wins and has pitched 115 innings. It is important that Jose goes deep in to games, it allows him to factor in to more decisions and it also allows the bull-pen guys to get some rest.
The White Sox hit last night, there is no reason that won?t happen again. They are facing an average starting pitcher in a ban box of a ball park. Take the White Sox as they will get the job done.
Chicago White Sox (-)
LA Angels at Oakland Athletics
This isn?t just the best pitching match-up of the day in baseball, this is the best pitching match-up in the entire 2008 MLB season. These two AL West rivals finish up with a pivotal game before the all-star break. They both finish up sending all-star pitchers to the hill.
Joe Saunders has been fantastic all season. Joe is 12-5 on the season with an ERA just slightly above 3 (3.07). Joe has thrown 120 innings and has allowed just 105 hits. Joe does walk some batters but overall his WHIP is 1.13. Does it get any better than those numbers? Well actually yes it does.
Justin Duscherer has been the best pitcher in all of baseball. Justin is 10-5 on the season with an ERA of 1.78. Even more staggering is the fact he has pitched 101 innings and he has allowed just 66 hits. Those are scary numbers folks. Justin has a WHIP of just .86, which if he keeps it up will be in the top five best seasons of all time.
Give us the ace in his own building. He will win again and finish off the first half on a high note.
Oakland Athletics (-)
National League
St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates
We like the Pirates to bounce back here tonight at home. The Pirates have not played well at home in this series, but trust us that is a mirage. The Pirates have actually been a very good home team all season. The reason they have been so good at home has no doubt been their offense. There is no way to slice it any other way, their pitching sure hasn?t held up.
You don?t? think of the Pirates as a team that will out-slug you but that is exactly what they have done, especially at home. They are eighth in all of baseball in runs scored. At home they are top ten in batting average, home runs etc. As a team they hit .263 that is a very high number, especially in the National League. Remember they stick a guy in their each and every day that bats .100.
The Cardinals have taken the first couple games on the road, but they aren?t a strong team outside of St. Louis. Their offense erupted last night, we don?t see it happening again here tonight. Make the smart play and get on board with the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates (-)
Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies
We told you yesterday that we liked the Diamondbacks to steal one. We are telling you the same thing here tonight. We have a fantastic pitching match-up on tap. Brandon Webb pitches for the road Diamondbacks and Cole Hamels gets the start at home.
Both of these starts have been very good all season. The problem for Cole is the fact that he doesn?t get much run support. Cole is just 9-6 on the season and the Phillies are just 12-7 in his nineteen starts. A lot of times teams let down when their ace is on the hill. The Phillies seem to be one on of those teams.
Brandon Webb on the other hand is 13-4 on the season. Brandon has thrown 124 innings allowing just 113 hits and has an ERA of 3.41. Not only is he 13-4 but the Diamondbacks as a team is 14-5 in his nineteen starts.
Webb has been even better on the road than at home. He is 7-3 with an ERA of just 2.73. He will keep the ball down and keep the ball in the ball park here tonight.
Arizona Diamondbacks (+)
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
We love the Brewers to bounce back here tonight. Milwaukee sends their new found ?ace? to hill. No dis-respect to Ben Sheets but C.C. Sabathia is the horse now of this rotation. He is a proven winner, and is still the reigning Cy Young award winner.
C.C. has been on a roll for quite a while. It wasn?t as if he was pitching badly and that was the reason he was dealt. In fact C.C. hasn?t really had a bad start since early May. A span of eleven straight starts without allowing more than four earned runs. Even on a very bad Cleveland team he still won. He didn?t win earlier in the season, but once he got over those struggles and found him-self he hasn?t been losing. C.C. hasn?t lost since June 5 and that was a road start against the Rangers.
Milwaukee has the offense to provide C.C. with plenty of support. Look for Braun, Fielder and Hart to carry the offense and C.C. will do the rest. The line is high for a reason, jump on board with the Brew Crew.
Milwaukee Brewers (-)
San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs
There are certain games with certain pitchers that you just have to be a part of. We love this game here tonight. We love for the Giants to take care of business and win this third game. There is no denying that the offense for the Giants is as bad as it gets. It did show a ton of life yesterday.
The Giants bats were quiet early as they faced Rich Harden, but they rallied and scored seven runs in the last two innings before they actually lost in extra innings. The Cubs had to use their bull-pen though and had to sweat the game out. We really believe that the Giants will be able to build on that.
The main reason we feel the Giants will get going is because of their man on the mound. Tim Lincecum has been brilliant all first half. On the road he takes it another level. Tim is 7-1 on the road with an ERA of 2.23. You just don?t see starters do that, you don?t see them win consistently on the road, especially in this crazy 2008 season. Tim will get win number eleven in Wrigley.
San Francisco Giants (+)
Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres
We like the Braves to steal one here in San Diego. Jorge Campillo goes for the Braves tonight. Believe it or not he has actually been there best pitcher in the first half of the 2008 season. We love Tim Hudson but Campillo has been just as good if not better.
Campillo has just three wins but don?t forget the fact that he didn?t join the rotation out of the gate. You have to look at his other numbers to realize how strong he really has been. Campillo has thrown 79 innings and allowed just 70 hits on the season.
Campillo has been a rock on the road. This is the first time in his career that a team has given him the chance to be a full time staring pitcher. You don?t have to look much further than his 1.59 ERA on the road to see he is for real.
Atlanta Braves (-)
Florida Marlins at LA Dodgers
This game is all about the staring pitchers folks. There are many times where the starting pitchers are over-rated, this is not one of those games. There is a clear and distinct advantage that just can?t be ignored.
Andrew Miller has struggled all season. Here is a young kid that has a ton of talent but just isn?t ready to put it together. On the season Andrew is just 5-8. The Marlins as a team are even worse in his nineteen starts. Andrew has been even worse recently. He hasn?t won a start in close to a month and has walked nine batters in his last 17 innings pitched.
Chad Billingsley on the other hand has been a stud. Here is a guy that has his ERA all the way down to 3.38. Remember he started off the season on hard times, but since that this guy has been dominating. In two of Chad?s last three starts he hasn?t even allowed a run. He also has allowed just one home run- since June 11. That is very important because the Marlins live and die with the long ball.
LA Dodgers (-)
Colorado Rockies at New York Mets
The Mets have finally hit their stride folks. It took them a long time but now they are right in this thing. In fact heading in to tonight?s action they actually have a shot to lead the division before the all-star break. Is that a scary proposition? That is what happens when the Phillies and Marlins didn?t pull away.
What we like about the Mets eight game winning streak is the fact they have done it in a number of ways. The Mets have won close games, the Mets have won blow-outs, the Mets have out-slugged other teams and the Mets have shut out teams.
The Rockies have scored just one run in the first two games. This Rockies team just doesn?t look like it is going to fire. They have had a ton of injuries and now may lose their best player very soon. Matt Holliday seems to be on the move, and that will be the final straw for the Rockies and their season. Look for the Mets to finish the first half in style.
New York Mets (-)
Steve Zukiel
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, July 13, 2008
$55.00 Guaranteed: Oh My God! Never Before Have I Released A Game This Big But After Studying This One I Can Only Call My FIRST EVER GUARANTEED 80 UNIT MLB GAME OF THE YEAR! That's Right Folks! 80 Unit Play! Win Or You Pay Nothing! This Game Wins By SIX!!! First Pitch Goes After 4:00 PM EST! 7/12/2008
Major League Baseball
Colorado vs New York
Sunday, July 13th, 2008
8:05 pm est 5:05 pm pacific
Line: New York(-175)
Rating: My First Ever Guaranteed 80 Unit MLB Game Of The Year In this contest, my money is on the New York Mets
This game was written before last night's games were finalized.
This game is going to be over very, very quickly. The Mets are one of the hottest teams in baseball, having won seven straight games, outscoring the opposition by a 44-19 margin. The Rockies meanwhile, have reverted back to their losing ways, having lost three of their last four, allowing 23 runs in the process. The pitching matchup also heavily favors the Mets as sizzling Mike Pelfrey looks to win his six straight start. Pelfrey doesn't have the greatest overall won/loss record, but he has a solid 3.93 ERA, and a 2.68 ERA at home. In his last six starts, he has gone a perfect 5-0 and the team has won all six. In his last two starts, he has allowed just one run and nine hits in 14 innings of work. Mark Redman goes for Colorado and he has been hit all season long. He is just 2-4 and sports an ERA of 7.37. Things are even worse on the road, where he is 1-2 and his ERA has climbed to 9.00. New York is sizzling, they are at home and they have the much better pitcher on the mound. I still can't believe they are only -175 favorites. Take them to the bank.
NEW YORK METS Triple Threat Sports
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, July 13, 2008
$37.00 Guaranteed: It's not even the middle of July, but with this spot there is no doubt that it gets the call as our Underdog Play of the Month! This one has 24-4 team result/starting pitcher angles in effect & also some great current year team stat edges adding up to 51-29 (.638) - all in favor of a fairly sizable dog. Great value & we expect to cash a nice ticket with our Underdog Play of the Month...JOIN US!!! 7/13/2008
5* Minnesota Twins (Blackburn vs Verlander) [1:05pm]
Start with the team results this year, and as such it is noted that the Twins are 27-16 in division games in 2008 while the Tigers are just 13-24. Much of that has to do with the results of this series, as the Twins are 10-4 against the Tigers this year, 10-2 in the last dozen contests. Looking at the pitchers, it is quite notable that Verander is 0-4 in his last four starts against the Twins and that Detroit has been outscored 21-3 in the last three such meetings. Finally, note that Minnesota is 5-1 in Detroit this season and that the Tigers have dropped five of six against winning teams. Great value on the Twins here!
BIG AL McMORDIE
BASEBALL DIVISION GAME OF THE WEEK! $20.00
Al McMordie came into this weekend off his 2 Biggest Plays of the Year! On Thursday, Big Al CRUSHED THE BOOKS with his American League Total of the Month, and on Friday, Al BURIED them with his 5* MLB Game of the Year. If you enjoyed those 2 MONSTER WINNERS, then you'll LOVE Sunday's #1 Play: It's Big Al's Division Game of the Week!
Oakland Athletics
Executive
250% Pittsburgh Pirates
Goodfellasports
WNBA
2 BOXES- CHI -5.5 over ATLANTA (6PM)
MLB
2 BOXES- SEATLE/KC OVER 9.5 -120 (2PM)
1 BOX- ATLANTA -109 over SD (4PM)
1 BOX- NY/TOR UNDER 8.5 -110 (1PM)
Nostradomus
Sunday's Selections
Tampa Bay -150
Detroit -150
Atl/San Diego Over 7.5 +100
SCOTT SPREITZER 's MLB Sunday KNOCKOUT BLOWOUT! *19-8, 70%!
I'm laying the price with the Tigers on Sunday. Detroit is in a must-win spot at home against Minnesota today with the ace of their staff on the mound.
The Tigers minus the price is the play. Thanks! GL! Scott.
SCOTT SPREITZER 's 25* MLB SUNDAY SLAMMER! *9-2, 82% Run!
I'm laying the price with the Mets on Sunday.
The Mets minus the price is the play. Thanks! GL! Scott
BRANDON LANG
SUNDAY
15 dime Royals
5 dime Rangers
5 dime A's
5 dime Giants
Larry Ness
LEGEND Play (won 8 of L9 MLB reports) $20.00
After winning his Superstar Triple Play on Weds, Larry followed that up by winning SEVEN of his L8 guaranteed MLB releases with Saturday's 3-0 sweep. Today, it's one of Larry's rare LEGEND Plays (2nd TY). These plays used to be reserved for only his personal clients but recently, he's made them available on the net. DON'T miss it!
Detroit Tigers
JR MILLER
NATIONALS -103 over Astros (Perez-Backe)
Cardinals at Pirates OVER 9.5 -105 (Pineiro-Snell)
CUBS -147 over Giants (Dempster- Lincecum)
INDIANS +137 over Rays (Sowers-Kazmir)
Twin at Tigers OVER 8.5 -112 (Blackburn-Verlander)
REDSOX -1.5 -102 over Orioles (Matsuzaka-Cabrera) (OR -196)
RANGERS -102 over Whitesox (any pitcher-Contreras)
ATHLETICS -126 over Angels (Duchscherer-any pitcher)
Scott Spreitzer's 25* MLB SUNDAY SLAMMER! *9-2, 82% Run!
I'm laying the price with the Mets on Sunday. I normally don't like to play favorites in this range. But there are some situations during a MLB season where a high favorite carries strong value because the number isn't nearly big enough. This is one such case. Mike Pelfrey has caught fire in recent outings. Over his last seven starts, Pelfrey's ERA is 2.62. He's finally living up to expectations, and may have been helped by the managerial change. Some players respond well to changes in leadership. The Mets, as a whole have certainly responded well to Jerry Manuel. The team owns an eight game winning streak after Saturday's win (KO play for my clients), which included three wins on the road against first place Philadelphia. Colorado is a woeful 14-35 on the road and they've dropped three straight. Tonight they start Mark Redman, who has an unbelievably bad ERA of 9.00 on the road this year. I'm getting a New York team that's finally playing like a champion, with a hot pitcher, against a very bad road team that's likely to go in the tank so they can get back to Colorado to start their three-day vacation. This game has blowout written all over it. The Mets minus the price is the play. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Scott Spreitzer's MLB Sunday KNOCKOUT BLOWOUT! *19-8, 70%!
I'm laying the price with the Tigers on Sunday. Detroit is in a must-win spot at home against Minnesota today with the ace of their staff on the mound. Justin Verlander has been pitching lights out in recent weeks. In fact, over his last 11 starts, Verlander has an ERA of 2.75. It's gone largely unreported because of some poor early outings. Verlander has been one of the best pitchers in all of baseball for about two months. Nick Blackburn of Minnesota has struggled on the road this season. His ERA is 4.78 outside the Metrodome. In one start at Comerica, Blackburn allowed four earned runs in 5 2/3 IP. The Twins are just 3-6 in his road starts. Detroit has its back to the wall after a shaky start to this series. Today is literally the most important game of their season if they want to stay in the AL Central race with Chicago and Minnesota. Verlander is just the man who should be on the mound with so much at stake. I believe Jim Leyland's squad will head into the all-star break on a positive note with a much needed divisional win. The Tigers minus the price is the play. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Anthony Capone (Procappersnetwork.com)
A very nice night going (3-0) and picking up 15 Dimes of Profit .Guys this is what my clients have come to expect
and you will get nothing less than 100 % from me .Now ask yourself if your ready to make the commitment to Winning .I put myself out there this week for all to see . I gave my plays away for Free .Quite a chance to take when losing could have cost me your trust .I don't hide under a make believe name or some other Bullshit moniker .
What you see is what you get .I am always available for any questions or comments you might have .
I once had someone in the Industry ask me how I could put my picture up and use my real name .My respone was simply that I have enough confidence in my ability to win and give customers their money's worth that I can do so .Honesty,Integrity,and Passion , three qualities you won't find very often in this business .Next week it's your turn to step up to the plate the way I have this week .Enjoy the rest of your Weekend.
5 Dimes A's -125
Las Vegas Insider-MLB (5-1 s/July 4) $20.00
Larry and his "unmatched" contacts have been combining to produce winning selections for years on the net. After a brief mini-slump, they've combined to win FIVE of their last six MLB Insiders (s/July 4), upping Larry's current run with Las Vegas Insiders to 23-13 since May 26. "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." Want in?
Los Angeles Dodgers
Comp
San Francisco v/s Chicago Cubs 7/13/2008 2:20:00 pm
Two All Star pitchers square off in Wrigley Field on Sunday, as Tim Lincecum takes on Ryan Dempster. Lincecum (10-2 with a 2.66 ERA) has developed into one of the NL's best hurlers in just his second season, while Dempster (10-3 with a 3.13 ERA) has revived his career as a starter (won 29 games for the Marlins in 2000 and 2001), after saving 85 games the last three seasons as Chicago's closer. Lincecum had been undefeated away from San Francisco this season but lost 7-0 loss at Shea to the Mets on Tuesday. He'll take a 7-1 mark with a 2.23 ERA in 11 road appearances this year (10 starts) into today's matchup against Dempster. However, getting the best of Dempster in Wrigley Field will not be easy. While Dempster is just 0-3 with a 4.03 ERA in eight road starts this year (team is 3-5), he's 10-0 with a 2.58 ERA in 11 home starts (Cubs are 11-0). However, there is a "fly in the ointment" for the Cubs in today's game, as Dempster is 0-6 with a 5.09 career ERA as a starter against the Giants. That being said, I'm NOT overlooking his home mark this year, or that of the Cubs, who are a ML-best 37-11 at home. The Cubs lead the NL in team batting average (.282) and are the senior circuit's highest scoring team as well (5.37 RPG), a figure that jumps to 6.38 RPG in home contests. Meanwhile, the Giants bat just .255 as a team and are one of the NL's lowest scoring teams, averaging 4.02 RPG. The Lincecum and Dempster matchup may be a 'push' but the Cubs over the Giants is a "no contest!"
Cubs win, Cubs win!
VERNON CROY
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers (MLB) - 1:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -143 Play
25 Unit MLB 1st Half Game of the Year
Detroit Tigers
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
25 Units, Take Detroit ML, This pick falls into one of my elite MLB systems and the Twins opponents are hitting .296 against them over their last 7 games while averaging 6.0 rpg. Justin Verlander (6-9, 4.24 ERA) has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.89 while striking out 16 batters over 18.7 innings. Verlander has also pitched solid at home this season with an ERA of 3.80 while striking out 55 batters and allowing just 58 hits over 71 innings. Verlander allowed just 5 hits and 1 earned run in his last start against the Twins back on May.25 while lasting 7 innings and the Tigers are 5-1 in Verlander's last 6 starts. Nick Blackburn (7-4, 3.72 ERA) has struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 4.77 while allowing 67 hits over just 54.7 innings and the Twins are just 3-6 this season when Blackburn has started on the road. Before last nights game the Tigers opponents were hitting just .232 against them over their last 7 games and I look for Verlander to have a solid start Sunday afternoon. Take Detroit as my 1st Half MLB Game of the Year.
Wayne Root
Chairman- Royals
Millionaire- Blue Jays
Insiders Circle- Pirates
PlusLineSports
Daily Baseball Pick
TRIPLE HEADER TODAY
Sunday July 13, 2008 MLB Daily Selection:
GAME #1
Baltimore Orioles(Cabrera) vs Boston Red Sox (Matsuzaka)
Boston Red Sox -1.5(-105) Runline, Moneyline(-201)
Line origin: Pinnacle @ 10:35 pm CST July 12
Game Time is 1:35 pm CST July 13
GAME #2
Colorado (Redman) vs New York Mets (Pelfrey)
New York Mets -1.5 (+132) Runline, Moneyline(-159)
Line origine: Pinnacle @ 10:35 pm CST July 12
Game Time is 8:05 pm CST July 13
GAME #3
Cincinnati (Bailey) vs Milwaukee (Sabathia)
Milwaukee -1.5 (-105) Runline Moneyline(-225)
Line origine: TheGreek @ 10:35 pm CST July 12
Game Time is 2:05 pm CST July 13
SCOTT FERRALL
BASEBALL FREE B's FOR SUNDAY CHICAGO WS -108 over Texas--The White Sox just aren't losing series these days. They've won four of last five series gogin in to the break. Contreras goes Sunday and beats Matt Harrison (1-0). OVER 10.5 RUNS
A's -130 over Angels--Oakland's ace, Duchscherer is going today and he threw a two hit, complete game shutout his last start. This guy's got 10 wins and doesn't allow any runs. Count on it ! UNDER 7 RUNS
Cubs -143 over Giants--Dempster doesn't lose at Wrigley--Cubs are 11-0 when he pitches at home. I saw the Mets beat 10 win Lincecum at Shea this week, so he's beatable. Cubs finish sweep.
Braves +102 over Padres---Randy Wolf never beats Atlanta (4-10) in his career. He even recently called himself the "worst pitcher in baseball." Great confidence there chief ! Campillo beats him at Petco. OVER 7.5 RUNS
Dodgers -161 over Marlins--Andrew Miller is 1-5 in his last 9 starts and LA avoids the sweep with Billingsley on the mound at the Revine. He's 3-0 in five starts vs the marlins in his brief career. UNDER 8 RUNS--LA isn't scoring runs this week.
NEW YORK METS -160 over Rockies--Sunday night baseball at Shea on ESPN has the Mets going for their 9th straight win and longest streak in 8 yrs. Pelfrey has been on FIRE lately. He's been NY's best pitcher lately. The Mets have won 17 of last 19 meetings with Colorado in Queens. JUMP ON NY TONIGHT AND RIDE THE GRAVY TRAIN. UNDER 9 RUNS--Pelfrey's ERA over his last 5 wins in a row is 3.23
Sal Bansa
Florida Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 4:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -151 Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB SUNDAY SHOCKER
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Florida Marlins will meet the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium Sunday. The Marlins go with the lefthander Andrew Miller who has a 5-8 record and a 5.09 ERA this season. The Dodgers will go with Chad Billingsley and The Dodgers righthander has a 3.36 ERA and a 8-8 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Dodgers listed as favorites versus the Marlins today. The Marlins sneaked by the Dodgers scoring two runs in the top of the 11th inning on Saturday to beat the Dodgers 5-3. Jorge Cantu went 2-5 and a home run for the Fish. Yes, Florida won 4 straight games and the Dodgers lost 3 in a row. But, Florida stats on Sunday are 2-8 despite being 6-1 last 7 games on the road. LA Dodgers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Florida. But they make the Dodgers favored in todays game?
DODGERS
JORGE GONZALEZ
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) - 1:35 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 9.5/-105 Over
1st half Total of the Year
St Louis/Pittsburgh over 9.5/-105
The Pirates have seen the total go over the total go 54-34-5 on the season. The Pirates beat the Cardinals in yestreday's action 12-11. I expect the hitting to continue into the rubber game of this series. Ian Snell(3-7, 5.84 ERA)has issued 22 walks in hius lat five games. The Cardinals are coming off clubbing 22 hits and will be happy to face Snell.
Matty O'Shea
MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
914 LOS / 913 FLA Over 8.5 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: If the Dodgers are going to avoid a three-game sweep at home by the Marlins on Sunday, they will need to break out offensively against Florida's Andrew Miller. LA is hitting .265 against lefties this season and has scored 25 runs combined in the last four games in which a southpaw has started for the opposition. Three of those games were wins, and Miller has seen 11 runs scored in each of his last two starts - both on the road. Dodgers starter Chad Billingsley is coming off a rough outing that saw him surrender six runs in 5.1 innings of a 9-3 home loss to Atlanta last time out, and he could be wearing down as the first half of the season comes to an end. The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these teams, so bet the OVER again here as my Single Dime NL Total Play O' the Day.
MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
909 SFG (+138) Sportsbetting.com vs 910 CHC
Analysis: You may think I'm crazy to go against the Cubs, who have not lost a game at home with Ryan Dempster on the mound. They are a perfect 11-0 in Dempster's starts at Wrigley Field this season, but the team's bullpen is a mess after Carlos Marmol nearly blew Saturday's eventual 8-7 victory in 11 innings. Dempster is just 2-6 lifetime against the Giants with a 4.34 ERA, and Chicago closer Kerry Wood is out with a finger blister, which could makes things interesting late in this one again. San Francisco's Tim Lincecum also is no slouch on the road this season, going 7-1 in 10 starts with a stellar 2.23 ERA. The value on Lincecum is just took good in this spot, so back the Giants as my Single Dime NL Underdog Play O' the Day.
MLB RunLine Triple-Dime Bet
916 NYM -1.5 (+120) BetUS vs 915 COL
Analysis: The Mets have the opportunity to head into the All-Star break on a nine-game winning streak, and they will be at worst a half-game back of first place in the National League East with a victory here. That's quite an accomplishment for this squad, which has endured quite a roller coaster ride in the first half of the season, including the firing of former manager Willie Randolph. During the team's current eight-game winning streak, they have won six by two runs or more. In addition, the four losses for Colorado in Mark Redman's starts this season have been decided by an average of four runs per game. New York is hitting .282 against lefties at home and has won the last six starts for Mike Pelfrey, who has seen each of those wins decided by at least two runs. Bet the Mets on the runline to win this one big and close out the first half with a bang as my Triple Dime First-Half MLB TV Play O' the Year.
MLB RunLine Single-Dime Bet
930 OAK -1.5 (+115) Bookmaker vs 929 ANA
Analysis: Oakland ace Justin Duchsherer is a perfect 6-0 lifetime against the Angels with an outstanding 1.28 ERA, and he is also 7-1 in eight home starts with a 1.23 ERA. All seven of Duchsherer's home wins have been decided by two runs or more. LA's pitching change of Dustin Moseley (1-3, 7.85 ERA) for Joe Saunders (12-5, 3.07) has made this worth betting for me, so take the A's on the runline as my Single Dime AL Value Play O' the Day.
BobbyClarkeSports
(Last 35 games 24-11 +$3670)
Tigers (Verlander) wager $420 to win $300
Braves (Campillo) wager $330 to win $300
Rockies (Redman) wager $200 to win $340
SEABASS
20 cin
20 sea
20 nyy
50 stl
100 lad
LT PROFITS
MASSIVE 65% RUN
Dime units are up $34,000 in MLB 2008
LT Profits have 3 MLB Bets Sunday - 2 Dogs
Profits are up big profit this baseball season, calling mostly dogs everyday. They have won an amazing 16 of their last 24 MLB cards and 19 of their last 31 days of baseball betting and are up $34,000 on the year. Over the last 2 decades of betting, LT has ruled MLB, calling 1-3 dogs everyday and winning 17 of those 20 years. Last year made their customers double digit units again and their MLB Side bets made close to $50,000 for dime bettors.
MLB Sun: 110% Guaranteed Profits from LT's 3-Pack Sun
Cleveland Indians
Mariners/Royals over 9.5
Florida Marlins
IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics - Sunday July 13, 2008 4:05 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) RUNLINE:Oakland Athletics -1.5 (+119)
research:
Duch, going to the all-start game did win his last start but fail to cover the run-line as the big chalk favorite at home against Silva, Mosely went just 2 innings against Oakland in his last appearance against them and gave up 7 hits, he has struggled this season overall, Duch has pitched 7 straight consecutive starts and beat the Angels on the road this year with a 1.8 ERA and given that Oakland comes off losing 1-4 yesterday, I can see Oak town likely pulling the run-line here today.
write-up:
Oakland lost yesterday as they had the weaker pitcher it seems with Eveland facing Santana, not such much today with Duch who was the center peice of their trade as they sent Harden to the Cubs, this kid is flat out great and the A's are just 5 wins away from the Angels so taking this 2nd of 3 games is a big game for them, Angels are 1-5 in Moseley's last 6 starts and A's are 7-0 when Duch faces a team with a winning record meaning that this kid shows up when facing tougher teams as he is also 7-1 when facing a total of 7-8.5, meaning in pitcher's duels, his team has the edge.
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays - Sunday July 13, 2008 1:07 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) MONEYLINE: New York Yankees -130
research:
Pettitte is 6-2 with a 3.45 ERA on the road and he has had 3 starts including his last one, where he didn't yield a single run, as he went 8 inns against TB at home and gave up just 4 hits, Burnett has struggled in back to back starts giving up 19 hits in less than 13 innings, he did show up against the Yankees in his last start on the road and won outright as a dog beating Mussina 5-2. Lean on the Yanks here as they also have a bit of revenge on Burnett as well from the earlier loss at home - Keep in mind: The Yanks only have 3 more wins than the bluejays this year.
write-up:
Pettitte is clearly the better pitcher here, he went 8 inns against tampa bay at home and gave up just 4 hits and 0 runs, that itself says a lot, typically I'm not a fan of road chalk, but the Yanks have won 6 of 7 Pettite's last 7 ballgames, the only loss being Boston, Burnett was fortunate to pick up a win in his last start gainst Olson of the Orioles, he beat the Yanks earlier this year in Yankee Stadium, Yankees have a score to settle against him as he has given up 19 hits in his last 2 starts. Bluejays are just 2-8 against lefties of late and Pettitte is 11-3 as a road favorite of late as well.
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Chicago White Sox @ Texas Rangers - Sunday July 13, 2008 3:05 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) MONEYLINE: Texas Rangers -104
research:
White Sox have won 54 games which many do not realize as compared to last year's dismal season this season has turned out to be far better, Contreras has been horrible over his last 4 starts including giving up 10 hits on the road at KC but still managing to help the whitesox win the game, and give Matt Harisson some credit for pitching very well in his first major league start at home against the Angels which is always a tough feat, heck, he gave up just 5 hits in 7 inns and 2 runs beating Saunders 3-2 as a +115 dog. Contreras has given up 33 hits in his last 15 innings on the road, lean on the rangers here especially since they lost 7-9 yesterday to danks.
write-up:
This is the write-up where I just get to the grunt of why I like a play. Rangers come off a tough 2 run loss against Danks, they are on the bounce-back, whitesox face a pitcher they have to face, Contreras got lucky on the road last time out beating the royals as he has given up 33 hits in his last 15 innings on the road, it will take the white sox at least 5 inns to get used to harrison's pitches in my opinion, White Sox are 2-9 when the total is set at this range and the Rangers are 5-1 when facing a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.50.
NSA
20* UNDER 8.5 TB/Clev
10* OVER 8.5 NYY/Tor
10* OVER 9 O's/Bos
10* Kansas City -
10* White Sox -
10* UNDER 7.5 Atl/SD
BOB AKMENS
4* Cardinals/Pirates under 9.5
7* Astros/Nationals under 9
Players of America
VERY rare, large 5* play today for these guys (5-3 on year). Been very hot over last two+ weeks.
MIN vs. DET
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Star Value: 5* (50 Units) Detroit Tigers -135
Writeup: Our first losing day in weeks came with a 1-2 disappointment on Saturday as the Tigers fell short late and the total pick was out of the picture early, but we're picking things up right where we left off with this one. We've been on a furious terror in bases as of late, and don't plan on slowing down one bit heading into the 2008 All-Star Break.
Alright, probably a big sigh and an eye roll from everyone out there when this pick popped up, but bear with us for one second here. Disregard this being a washed out, oversized, meaningless write up, because we're stating the facts here.not some influential BS to sell you on so hear us out. Throw everything you've learned out the window for right now and let's just get a few things straight. Don't think for one second we're chasing down a team that has lost a couple straight (which they have), or following some incredible home series system/trend.because that's just not the case right now. This is baseball and unlike any other sport out there, you can not wager according to the past, present or future of a team's win losses or you'll find yourself in a very deep hole.we all know that. However, this one lines up very nicely and just happens to be a great situation to place a wager.
We rode the Tigers last night as a 3* pick and they nearly mounted a victory in a late comeback but fell a bit short. We're jumping back on this train and this is why. This squad isn't the same one that lost eight, ten, twelve games straight (whatever it was) earlier this season. They actually are a completely different one, period. These guys are in a semi-pennant race for something special in the Central and these mid to late season series with in-division opponents are vital.
Getting to the match up, the Twins have owned the Tigers so far in this road series swiping three of the four so far. Could they sweep? Absolutely, its baseball.but we don't feel the chance is very good here. The Tigers have showed life in every game in the series, but have just fell short. Pitching has been shaky at times, but Detroit's starters have been notorious for that this season.
Justin "Verly" Verlander toes the rubber Sunday afternoon at Comerica Park at 1:05PM EST for Detroit with something to prove. Justin is 2-0 his last three times out with a no decision and has been absolutely impeccable. It seems that he has gotten that touch back that we saw so many times last season including his famous no hitter. In his last three starts, the righty has thrown nearly 19 innings and given up just 14 hits. He holds a WHIP of 1.22 and boasts an ERA of 2.88. He get's some solid run support in his outings, too. When Verlander finishes his work, the Tigers bullpen has been taking over and doing a damn good job. In the last three games, the Detroit bullpen sports an AL Central best 2.62 ERA in 30+ innings. There is some great value on this team in this spot. The last time Verlander threw against the Twins it was May 25 in a 6-1 loss. A little revenge factor here. Odds makers decided to open the bidding on the Tigers that day at -194.quite pricey for an unproven team at the time if you as us. Here we are in Game 4 of the series, so why the drastically lower price? Minnesota is playing great ball, but Detroit has been lately too. Expect some squares to be eating up the Twins value for a sweep Sunday, but we're not buying it. Offensively, Edgar Renteria's status has been updated to "probable" on Sunday as he is coping with a sore hamstring. This addition would put a little more hop in the step of this Tiger's team as they've been a bit more banged up than they would have liked lately.
Right hander Nick Blackburn will be putting his fingers on the seams to start for the Twins. Nick is 1-0 his last three starts and has a season ERA of 3.75. Like the Tigs, don't think the Twins don't have their share of critical injuries too. Second baseman Matt Tolbert and right fielder Michael Cuddyer won't be returning to the lineup anytime soon, both are scheduled for MRI's and possible surgery. Not a huge hit to the team as they've adapted well, but are key losses for sure. The last ten times the Twins and Tigers have met, Minnesota holds a less than impressive ERA of nearly 5.00 while Detroit is under 3.75. The infamous Ron Kulpa is designated to call the balls and strikes and boy does this guy love action. His events average over 2.5 homeruns and nearly 9 runs a game. Back to the teams, the Tigers have a pretty good key-in on Mr. Blackburn. Career wise, Miguel Cabrera has shelled the kid hitting over .665 with a pair of doubles, Curtis Granderson at .500 with a double, Carlos Guillen at .333 and Raburn an even .500 with just four looks.
Stats, history, trends and all of those goodies are great.but spotting value and exploiting it is what wins. You might be scratching your head saying "-135 is value?" On Sunday afternoon's matchup in Detroit.absolutely. Lay the small amount of chalk here, it'll be worth it. Be confident turning this one in, too, and be sure to give a smile when collecting. We're laying 50 units on a 5* wager with the Detroit Tigers today for a final big cash before a three day break.
TRENDS OF THE GAME:
-The Tigers are 19-6 in their last 25 home games.
-The Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 games on grass.
-The Tigers are 20-9 in their last 29 overall.
Detroit 6, Minnesota 2
NYY vs. TOR
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Star Value: 1* (10 Units) Under 9
Writeup: For our second and final game we're zoning in on another total in which we've been pretty successful with as of late. This one is between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays. There was a very similar match up just a couple days ago which we cashed on in Toronto between these two and this one is virtually identical.
The well-known, highly touted Andy Pettitte is schedule to get the start the New York Sunday afternoon and he comes in with pretty good numbers. Andy is 10-6 on the season and has thrown a whopping 120 innings. He has an ERA under 4.00. Even more attractive, Pettitte has a 4:15 ration on overs to unders this season. He has thrown 19 total games and stayed under 15.pretty solid. Johnny Damon and Hideki Matsui, two typical starters for the Yanks, will remain on the DL hindering the offensive explosion of this squad just a bit.
On the other side, right hander A.J. Burnett will start the game. He has a little higher ERA than Andy at 5.20, but remarkably also loves to stay under the total. A.J. has thrown 20 games already this season and stayed under more than half of those. Like the Yankees, the Jays have a few offensive injuries which will keep some of the usual power bats sidelined. Alex Rios, Vernon Wells and Shannon Stewart are all out indefinitely for Sunday's match up.
As we look at the overall figures with these two teams this year, they tend to stay under the total a lot more than over. New York has an O/U ratio this season of 32-57 and Toronto is equally impressive at 38-40. In their last ten games, NYY has stayed under seven times and Toronto five. Fieldin Culbreth will be calling the strikes and he too this season has kept games under the total five more times than over.
Trends and knowing these popular pitches set the stage for this play. Break it out and lay 10 units for a 1* on the UNDER in Toronto this Sunday before the All-Star break.
TRENDS OF THE GAME:
-The UNDER is 7-2-1 in the Yankees last 10 on field turf.
-The UNDER is 9-1 in Pettitte's last 10 road starts.
-The UNDER is 26-10 in the Blue Jays last 36 Sunday games.
-The UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings of these two teams.
New York 3, Toronto 1
Service Plays Sunday 
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