Baseball Very Soon

Old-Timer · 02-09-2010, 09:56 AM

If you bet every home dog last year it ended up somewhere in the neighborhood of +20 units. Two years prior weren't so kind although it wasn't that bad one being close to even. I may take a shot this year. I still use about 4 of Mike Lee's timeless angles.

This little system (Below) had a losing season last year for the first time in a while except for the Over/Under part which showed a small profit. Anybody use this.

1. Eliminate any underdog that is priced higher than +150. Those are no plays.
2. Eliminate any underdog that has lost 3 or more games straight.
3. Eliminate any underdog that is facing a team that has won 3 or more straight.
4. Eliminate any underdog that is facing a starting pitcher ranked 20th or better according to Jeff Sagarin's adjusted ERAs. (Jeff Sagarin computer ratings - USATODAY.com)
5. Play on every underdog that hasn't been eliminated by rules 1-4 above.

For totals:
1. If both teams have starting pitchers ranked 20th or better in the Sagarin ratings, play "under".

Dirty · 02-09-2010, 12:14 PM

Great stuff.... thanks... and can't wait until Bases kicks off

Old-Timer · 02-10-2010, 10:03 AM

If you bet every home dog last year it ended up somewhere in the neighborhood of +20 units.

I need to amend that statement, That's only for the Months of April and May..

Dirty · 02-10-2010, 11:49 AM

Thanks for the Clarification

02-09-2010, 09:56 AM	#1
Old-Timer Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 659 Thanks: 0 Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts	Baseball Very Soon If you bet every home dog last year it ended up somewhere in the neighborhood of +20 units. Two years prior weren't so kind although it wasn't that bad one being close to even. I may take a shot this year. I still use about 4 of Mike Lee's timeless angles. This little system (Below) had a losing season last year for the first time in a while except for the Over/Under part which showed a small profit. Anybody use this. 1. Eliminate any underdog that is priced higher than +150. Those are no plays. 2. Eliminate any underdog that has lost 3 or more games straight. 3. Eliminate any underdog that is facing a team that has won 3 or more straight. 4. Eliminate any underdog that is facing a starting pitcher ranked 20th or better according to Jeff Sagarin's adjusted ERAs. (Jeff Sagarin computer ratings - USATODAY.com) 5. Play on every underdog that hasn't been eliminated by rules 1-4 above. For totals: 1. If both teams have starting pitchers ranked 20th or better in the Sagarin ratings, play "under". __________________ http://www.paulsamsports.com/index.html

02-09-2010, 12:14 PM	#2
Dirty Moderator Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 21,071 Thanks: 42 Thanked 19 Times in 19 Posts	Great stuff.... thanks... and can't wait until Bases kicks off __________________ GIQ ODDS -- FREE Premium Live Lines Service Get up to 40% Rakeback at GIQ Poker

02-10-2010, 10:03 AM	#3
Old-Timer Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 659 Thanks: 0 Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts	If you bet every home dog last year it ended up somewhere in the neighborhood of +20 units. I need to amend that statement, That's only for the Months of April and May.. __________________ http://www.paulsamsports.com/index.html

02-10-2010, 11:49 AM	#4
Dirty Moderator Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 21,071 Thanks: 42 Thanked 19 Times in 19 Posts	Thanks for the Clarification __________________ GIQ ODDS -- FREE Premium Live Lines Service Get up to 40% Rakeback at GIQ Poker

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Baseball Very Soon