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  1. #1
    Senior Member Old-Timer's Avatar

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    Default Baseball Very Soon

    If you bet every home dog last year it ended up somewhere in the neighborhood of +20 units. Two years prior weren't so kind although it wasn't that bad one being close to even. I may take a shot this year. I still use about 4 of Mike Lee's timeless angles.

    This little system (Below) had a losing season last year for the first time in a while except for the Over/Under part which showed a small profit. Anybody use this.


    1. Eliminate any underdog that is priced higher than +150. Those are no plays.
    2. Eliminate any underdog that has lost 3 or more games straight.
    3. Eliminate any underdog that is facing a team that has won 3 or more straight.
    4. Eliminate any underdog that is facing a starting pitcher ranked 20th or better according to Jeff Sagarin's adjusted ERAs. (Jeff Sagarin computer ratings - USATODAY.com)
    5. Play on every underdog that hasn't been eliminated by rules 1-4 above.

    For totals:
    1. If both teams have starting pitchers ranked 20th or better in the Sagarin ratings, play "under".


  2. #2
    Moderator Dirty's Avatar

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    Default

    Great stuff.... thanks... and can't wait until Bases kicks off

  3. #3
    Senior Member Old-Timer's Avatar

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    If you bet every home dog last year it ended up somewhere in the neighborhood of +20 units.

    I need to amend that statement, That's only for the Months of April and May..

  4. #4
    Moderator Dirty's Avatar

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    Thanks for the Clarification

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