The Favorites and Underdogs in the Money Line Game
July 12, 2008
In order to succeed the game of money line, you must pick the right team that you think is capable to win the game. It’s a matter of how efficient you are in choosing a proficient group. If the group that you have selected has successfully won the game, and then you win your stake, however if the team failed to won the game therefore you lose the bet.
It’s not that simple, to think that choosing your preferred team all the time while laughing to the bank all throughout can give you assurance to win your bet. If this wager paid constant currency, so you just have to select your favorites every week and get the higher chance of winning your stake for up to 50% and immediately give up the game. For that reason, obviously, this risk does not pay stable cash. If you had decided to choose a favorite and win instantly, you should place money over you can win. Now if you pick an underdog, then you are required to lay down a smaller amount of cash than you can win.
Say you have selected the Miami Dolphins as your favorite and you want it to win instantly then you should give $180 for you to win the $100, whereas if you pick Minnesota Vikings as the underdog to instantly win the game, then you just need to put down $100 in order to win $150.
Gambling
July 10, 2008
Beating the odds of money making gambling sports takes discipline and a system of effective money management. Make money while sweating on gambling by taking some of these few tips and become an ultimate sports gambler.
1. Set a bankroll. Keep cold cash on hand for every game to pay back for your losses. It’s the smartest way rather than crediting your payments from your paycheck.
2. Avoid excessive bets for one game. Be wise and not a dreamer because you can lose the game in an instant no matter how other scammers say about Lock of the Month. Lucky guesses are not good tactic for your betting. Better yet, bet only a portion in your bankroll at 1-2% each game.
3. Avoid chasing losses. Always remember not to get tempted by betting twice to win back your losses and money. It’s not a permanent setback but instead reevaluate your money system to refurbish what you have lost.
4. Don’t overdo your excitement. Just because you went 10-0 in your previous bet doesn’t mean that you’re in luck forever. Keep a constant bet size and try to stick with your management system. Every increase of 20% in your bankroll, add it to your betting. Take this example, bet $100 per game for a bankroll of $10,000 then increases it to $120 when your bankroll reaches $12,000.
Halftimes – The Busiest Time, The Betting Time
July 10, 2008
NFL halftimes are considered to be the busiest fifteen minutes in a week. Especially in early games, most first halves usually ends at the same time and the people who are designated to make the books are given the task of setting the second half lines for the rest of the games on the board. They are referred to as bookmaker that also manages the odds from all the action that is coming in.
Professional bettors in this industry referred to as ‘wise guys’ usually attack a weak number while informed recreational bettors watch the first half of a game then makes a wager after to load up the games remaining half time. Others will attempt to win on both sides of the bet by playing against the bet team in the games second half. Making a wrong choice in line will cost a big amount of loss.
The Skybook head odds maker from Rio called Doc said that NFL halftimes are similar to an actual hectic ten in the morning (PST) rush. He further stated that bettors should always be on top of everything specially the numbers. Royal Sports head odds maker Leo Shafto added that you should also keep a sharp opening number in the second half.
Bookies subscribe to Don Best odds service to keep tabs on the posted numbers by other competitors in their books. It provides a better control of the game, track line movements and post odds.
NFL Fullbacks’ Game
July 10, 2008
San Diego Chargers and Ladainian Tomlinson found Lorenzo Neal to be their answer to a collective runs and successful season. Neal is already in his 13th season out of Fresno State. This battering ram makes good offense by springing runs and leveling on opposing linebackers. Also known as “The Gentle Giant”, Neal rarely gets knocked backwards that is a payoff for being a workout freak.
He was a rookie and a featured back of Saints in 1993. His second game for the season busted his ankle and was done after the injury although he achieved an average of 8.3 yard per carry through the two games. Oddly enough, since the injury he’s career in NFL soared and he has never missed a game for the next twelve years.
The fullbacks provide important run games of the team. Check some of this fullback feature to use for your betting that includes injury statistics and status of fullbacks, fullback blocks for tailback and run games.
Neal has five careers rushing touchdowns, played for six different teams in thirteen seasons and made an average of less than one carry per game. The RB big names that he’s blocked are Corey Dillon, Warrick Dunn, Eddie George, Adrian Murrell and Mike Alstott. Since 1997, all of Neal’s backs have run for more than 1000 yards. Finally, he’s only been in one NFL Pro Bowl in his 13-year career.
Major League Baseball Betting Strategies
July 10, 2008
Baseball game betting is an extremely volatile investment. You can earn big profit in a matter of time and then lose it in a snap of finger. You should be able to construct a tactic to go around this kind of betting, here’s how you can keep up with the game.
1. Find the most profitable situations. Certain situations such as stats line up where the team is perfectly lined up for every category. Look for a team that gives you all the right situations.
2. Give the bullpens a special attention. The most important factor in baseball betting is to bet against overworked bullpen. Always play with a team that has a rested and solid pen as well.
3. Eyes on the right statistics. Focus your attention on the right stats, specially the record of WHIP (walks added to hits divided by innings pitched) by the starting pitcher, wins/losses, bullpen run average earned day/night, batting average verse of team pitchers in a right and left-handed pitches.
4. Don’t bet along with the Public. A good example is the Vegas betting and handicapping during Yankee games where they make money from losing bettors. The heat is on and this will place you in the losing situation.
5. Pick the best lines. This will give you a great profit and save you money too. Playing baseball on a 10-cent line is a must.
6. Parlay-check. Betting on 2-team parlays reduces the possible chance of favorites. Recommended for experienced baseball bettors only. Avoid 3-team or more parlays because of books cut cost increases.
Why Bet on the Underdogs?
July 10, 2008
In every NFL match, bettors usually pick the underdogs. Why the underdogs? Check these six reasons to know.
1. NFL Parity
The NFL maintains a great deal accomplish balance among the teams, like the Super Bowl teams from several years ago: St. Louis in 2000, Baltimore in 2001, New England in 2002, Tampa Bay in 2003, and Carolina last year. They are presumed not to make it but they won.
2. A Win is a Win
Favorites that rise early don’t usually get the highest score. Leading teams in NFL frequently fall off, with underdogs coming late in the game.
3. The Rodney Daingerfield Effect
Usually underdogs don’t get admiration from the people and from the opponent team. But research before showed great circumstances wherein underdogs are more poised for disappointment than the favorites.
4. The Public Can’t Help Itself
Research and observations, almost often revealed that favorites are not earning scores against the regular team because of the audience impact that is pressing on the audience’s favorite: which is usually the underdog.
5. Got Courage
According to the research and based from the actual situation, some underestimated dogs can be seen each week and definite circumstances in which bad teams have previously and consistently outperformed their previous performance.
6. The Point-spread Matters Less than You Think
Historically, the point-spread in the NFL mostly have a probability of about 16%. This means that 84% of the time, the team that wins is the team that can spread the points most.
Do you know Mr. ROI?
July 10, 2008
The Return on Investment or ROI is the percentage anticipated in every win. The “investment” referred here is the money given to win a bet including the applicable sport service charge. The “return” is the net winnings or loses according to the investment.
In sports betting, ROI is evaluated by getting the net winnings or losses and divided by the money spent. For example if you laid $110 to win $100 and win the bet, your ROI on that bet is 90.9%. The ideal win rate over entire game is 50%-60%. With 10% rate 52.38% is required for a break even. Here are the ROI at different win rates presuming a 110 risk to win 100:
50% -4.55%
52%: 0.73%
54%: 3.09%
56%: 6.91%
58%: 10.73%
60%: 14.55%
62%: 18.36%
64%: 22.18%
66%: 26.00%
68%: 29.82%
70%: 33.64%
Basing on the table, when we base it to the stock market and going back to 10%, it signifies 10% for each year or 5% for six months. Given that sport affairs last for about six months, the standard to make is in fact only 5% return. You need to strike around 55% to equal the standard return for stocks if we utilize stocks as a standard. In actuality, a 57.6 win translates only to 10% net return, which is already above the standard set.
Gain Big with small Investment. Possible?
July 10, 2008
While the veteran bettors are familiar with a money-line game option during the NFL, most are not aware of its potential. Here is an attempt to explain and illustrate a money-line.
A money-line play is like choosing your team to bet in. The favorite and the underdog are the choices in the process. When you bet on the winning team then you win straight. If the bet is equal, you always choose the favorites every time and win higher than 50% of the bet. That’s the reason why bets don’t yield equal amounts because more money is put on the favorite than the underdog. Here are some illustrations:
Ex. 1: Miami Dolphins –3 vs. Minnesota Vikings
In this situation, Miami got –180 while +150 on Minnesota. If you choose Miami, your bet should be $180 to gain a $100. If you choose Minnesota you have to give $100 to gain $150.
Ex. 2: Buffalo Bills +6.5 vs. Green Bay Packers
In here, the bookmaker allotted a money-line at –300 for the Packers while +230 for the Buffalos. If you can get 6.5 points for the underdog getting the win, and you also gain $230 for just a $100 bet.
It is also possible to win with the underdog as your choice. See examples again, for Buffalo your $100 gains $725 winning prize. It is really not difficult to have the underdog win, however, it may happen and what’s good is that you will gain a lot without betting so much.
Keeping pace with the Betting Game
July 10, 2008
Betting in any game of chance is common but it is also considered to be risky. Some wagers are just betting for fun and they are not concerned of their money. They will bet large amounts even if there is only a small chance of winning. So, why do gamblers still risking their money? There are lots of reasons or maybe just an impulsive move because of an offer.
Take this scenario that can entice you to bet in a game. Someone offered you a 10% benefit that could translate to 55% gain for you vs. your 45% probable loss, for every 500 bets. With the rule of big numbers applied, at the end of the game there would be close to 55% winners and 45% losers or 275 vs. 225. Another is the $100 bet that can gain $5,000. This is good, right? But at the start of the game, you cannot bet more than $500 and if you ran out of money, you cannot put in some more to your bankroll. At least 20% of your money is up for a bet on each round. To some, this scenario will not gain money and certainly, you will end up broke in the end. Put it like this, the probability of reaching 55 winners is slim and you will gain nothing. For 500 bets, your money will be easily gone even in just 5-10 bets only and the probability of winner vs. loser is just 2-18 per game.
So, are you game or not?
Daily Sports Roundup: July 8, THEGREEK.com
July 8, 2008
The Milwaukee Brewers are apparently serious about getting into the playoffs this season - they’ve brought in ace lefthander C.C. Sabathia to bolster their pitching staff.Originally scheduled to pitch for the Indians in Detroit on Tuesday night, Sabathia is now expected to take to the mound in Milwaukee for his new team against the Rockies. The Brewers acquired Sabathia’s services on Sunday night by sending a package of minor-league players to the Tribe (most notably Matt LaPorta, a highly-touted young outfielder).
Sabathia went 6-8 with a 3.83 ERA and 123 strikeouts (over 122 1-3 innings) over the first three months of the season for the Indians, who are mired in last place in the AL Central division. That ERA, though, has been in decline since a rough patch at the start of the year for the lefthander. Since giving up nine earned runs in back-to-back outings on April 11 and April 16 Sabathia hasn’t given up more than four earned runs in a start.
And over the last month Sabathia’s ERA has dropped a full run, as he’s gone 3-1 with two no-decisions in six outings. In his most recent outing, against the White Sox on July 2, Sabathia allowed four earned runs on seven hits over eight innings in a no-decision.
Milwaukee will now have the formidable duo of Sabathia and Ben Sheets atop their rotation as they try to catch the Cubs - and hold off the Cardinals - in the NL Central standings. Chicago, Milwaukee, and St. Louis had the three best records in the National League heading into play this week, but only two of them can qualify for the postseason.
The Rockies are scheduled to start Mark Redman on the road on Tuesday night. The lefthander is 2-3 with a 7.05 ERA on the season, and he just re-joined the team for a start on July 3 against Florida. That outing, though, was a pretty good one, as Redman held the opposition to only two earned runs on six hits over six innings in a no-decision.
The Cubs, meanwhile, will send Ryan Dempster (9-3, 3.24 ERA) to the mound on Tuesday to face the Reds’ Aaron Harang (3-10, 4.47 ERA) at Wrigley Field. The Cards will be on the road on Tuesday, and they’re expected to put Joel Pineiro (2-4, 4.52 ERA) up against Phillies ace Cole Hamels (9-5, 3.22 ERA) in the opener of a three-game set.
Elsewhere around the National League on Tuesday it’s Houston at Pittsburgh, Arizona at Washington, San Francisco at the New York Mets, Florida at San Diego, and Atlanta at the Los Angeles Dodgers. Jair Jurrjens will battle Chad Billingsley in that last contest.
Over in the American League the top series will be taking place at Yankee Stadium, with New York getting a visit from the first-place Rays. Tampa Bay handled the Red Sox in their big series last week, and they’ll be looking to do the same this week against the Yankees. Scott Kazmir (7-3, 2.63 ERA) will be up against Andy Pettitte (9-6, 4.22 ERA).
The Red Sox will host the Twins on Tuesday, while someone will have to fill in for Sabathia when the Tribe visits Detroit. Also on the schedule are Baltimore at Toronto, the Los Angeles Angels at Texas, the Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, and Seattle at Oakland. Justin Duchscherer (9-5, 1.96 ERA) will take the mound for the A’s in that one.
The only other sports action on Tuesday takes place in the WNBA, where there are five games. Houston and Phoenix will get the day started with a game at 3:30pm ET, with Indiana at Washington, Connecticut at Detroit, and New York at San Antonio beginning in the early evening. A Seattle/Sacramento matchup at 10:00pm ET will close the day.
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